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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 15.52
Price - 52 Week High: 18.59
Price - 52 Week Low: 11.75
Price Date (Latest): 3/22/19
Median Price Target: 16.62
Diff from Prev Close: 1.10
% Difference: 7.06

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.44

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.36
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.44
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 28.95
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 25.64
Yield (%): 2.84

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1.22 1.40 1.15 1.20 15 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.09 1.13 1.05 1.09 17 -- 16 -9.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.24 16 -- 15 -7.79
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.25 0.27 0.22 0.24 16 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.30 0.33 0.28 0.31 16 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.29 0.33 0.26 0.29 16 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 10.10 10.10 10.10 10.10 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.36 1.33 2.20
Annual 12/1/17 0.89 0.86 3.96
Annual 12/1/16 0.49 0.48 3.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.35 0.33 6.77
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.40 0.38 5.74
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.33 0.29 12.35
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.27 0.24 12.67

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.84 6.85 5.16 5.58 5 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.47 6.20 4.31 5.59 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.61 5.73 5.54 5.55 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.63 5.87 5.50 5.52 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.71 6.04 5.50 5.58 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.64 6.20 5.16 5.59 4 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5.16 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.88 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.85 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.24 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 5.19 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 5.19 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.05 1.10 1.00 1.05 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.26 1.07 17.98
Annual 12/1/17 1.21 0.73 65.41
Annual 12/1/16 0.62 0.26 138.46
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.38 0.39 -1.30
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.50 0.30 66.67
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.30 0.26 14.94
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.08 0.30 -73.33

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 3 -- -- 2.27
Annual 12/1/19 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.44 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 0.44 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 0.44 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 0.44 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.11 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.11 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.11 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 567.32
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 586.35 592.69 580.00 586.35 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 521.09 595.00 492.10 517.64 14 -- 5 -8.65
Annual 12/1/19 465.50 491.00 453.54 462.90 16 -- 16 -8.71
Quarterly 3/1/19 105.65 106.61 105.10 105.50 13 1 12 -6.48
Quarterly 6/1/19 105.79 116.20 96.89 105.20 13 -- 13 -15.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 128.87 140.26 122.00 128.00 13 -- 13 -11.40
Quarterly 12/1/19 126.20 139.58 114.96 124.60 13 -- 12 -9.15

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 567.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 391.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 230.71 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 148.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 166.23 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 139.41 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 113.59 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 633.62
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 578.39 595.50 558.50 582.70 5 1 -- 6.49
Annual 12/1/19 529.57 537.70 521.54 529.52 4 -- 3 -10.37
Quarterly 3/1/19 121.90 122.42 120.64 122.27 4 -- 3 -7.54
Quarterly 6/1/19 121.96 132.60 113.75 120.75 4 -- 3 -17.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 144.90 157.29 136.67 142.83 4 -- 3 -8.56
Quarterly 12/1/19 140.83 156.49 132.16 137.33 4 -- 2 -6.38

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 633.62 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 459.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 320.17 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 164.63 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 182.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 155.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 130.73 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 0.39 0.55 0.18 0.40 6 -- -- -7.23
Annual 12/1/19 0.24 0.38 0.13 0.25 8 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.03 0.04 -- 0.03 6 1 5 -195.28
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.05 0.08 0.02 0.04 6 1 4 -119.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.10 0.14 0.06 0.09 7 1 6 -75.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.09 0.13 0.04 0.10 6 2 3 -62.25

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 0.95 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -0.28 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -2.15 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.72 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.14 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.07 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.02 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 588.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 206.22 319.43 93.00 206.22 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 392.10 431.00 345.00 400.29 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 472.53 472.53 472.53 472.53 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 414.18 414.18 414.18 414.18 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 356.00 356.00 356.00 356.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 317.06 369.00 265.11 317.06 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 588.52 614.23 -4.19
Annual 12/1/17 804.92 865.56 -7.01
Annual 12/1/16 1,073.84 967.85 10.95
Quarterly 12/1/18 588.52 587.05 0.25
Quarterly 9/1/18 665.80 815.05 -18.31
Quarterly 6/1/18 771.02 854.15 -9.73
Quarterly 3/1/18 813.93 889.15 -8.46

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 508.98
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 460.87 526.00 434.60 455.30 14 -- 3 -9.24
Annual 12/1/19 409.95 426.00 396.00 410.36 16 1 15 -9.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.06 92.20 87.30 91.40 13 2 11 -4.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 91.84 101.60 83.16 91.64 13 -- 13 -14.87
Quarterly 9/1/19 114.70 124.66 108.24 113.80 13 -- 13 -9.82
Quarterly 12/1/19 112.22 125.02 100.45 111.20 13 -- 12 -7.32

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 508.98 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 324.26 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 170.47 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 130.99 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 152.73 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 124.96 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 100.30 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 16.78 29.13 6.40 17.70 5 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 17.09 32.57 4.10 18.67 7 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 13.10 18.00 4.20 17.10 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 13.67 18.60 4.40 18.00 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 14.57 20.30 5.40 18.00 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 10.27 18.60 5.20 7.00 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.89 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 17.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 7.39 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.19 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 17.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.78 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 5.50 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,483.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,440.00 2,440.00 2,440.00 2,440.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,331.85 2,459.22 2,240.31 2,330.60 14 -- 4 -5.67
Annual 12/1/19 2,209.29 2,257.90 2,152.24 2,207.38 16 -- 16 -5.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 535.16 536.50 534.30 535.00 15 -- 15 -4.50
Quarterly 6/1/19 530.02 553.40 507.73 528.50 15 -- 15 -7.84
Quarterly 9/1/19 575.25 596.09 546.10 579.10 15 -- 15 -6.36
Quarterly 12/1/19 568.96 593.49 546.10 569.70 15 -- 14 -5.05

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,483.84 2,478.38 0.22
Annual 12/1/17 2,327.77 2,323.77 0.17
Annual 12/1/16 1,941.86 1,933.25 0.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 604.47 598.90 0.93
Quarterly 9/1/18 673.04 669.14 0.58
Quarterly 6/1/18 624.09 618.53 0.90
Quarterly 3/1/18 582.24 580.43 0.31

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 14.30 48.74 0.29
FY1 12.76 29.37 0.43
FY2 11.09 17.59 0.63

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -20.21 -14.81 0.94
FY2/FY1 12.07 40.62 0.80
FY3/FY2 12.07 40.62 0.80

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